TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Volume:
$21,823,707
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway, a lightweight main card bout scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets span winner determination, method of victory (submission, KO/TKO), fight duration thresholds, and whether the fight goes the distance. Resolution depends on official UFC declaration of the fight outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's winner market logic is self-contradictory (both fighters resolve to Yes), making it fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent categorical resolution. All other markets (method, duration) are unified across platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi winner markets; they contain a logical impossibility. Polymarket winner market is the only valid categorical resolution. For method-of-victory and duration markets, both platforms are consistent: official UFC determination, 50-50 on draw/no-contest/cancellation/postponement beyond March 21, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Winner markets state: 'If Max Holloway wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Charles Oliveira wins... resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible; both outcomes cannot resolve to the same value. No mechanism provided for draws or cancellations.
- Polymarket: Winner market resolves to 'Charles Oliveira' (if Oliveira wins), 'Max Holloway' (if Holloway wins), or '50-50' (draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026). Categorical and mutually exclusive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.