TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 27, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 27, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants regarding the probability of that outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there's always a bid and ask price, facilitating trading even with low volume. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations for the Germany vs Greece match, driven entirely by user activity.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Germany vs Greece match as determined by UEFA. This includes accounting for any potential overtime or penalty shootouts, if applicable. The platform will verify the final score against trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, player suspensions, or changes in coaching staff would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role, as could pre-game analysis from football experts. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or media coverage, might also prompt traders to adjust their positions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning could lead to movement in this market.