TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 6:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between UD Oliveirense and FC Penafiel, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the UD Oliveirense vs. FC Penafiel match originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between UD Oliveirense and FC Penafiel, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the UD Oliveirense vs. FC Penafiel match originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic probability distribution for the match result. The platform uses a liquidity pool model, and the price movement is driven by supply and demand for shares in each outcome. This allows for real-time price discovery based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the UD Oliveirense vs. FC Penafiel match, as officially recorded by sporting authorities, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official match result, and any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will settle.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either UD Oliveirense or FC Penafiel would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the match location could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, major tactical announcements from either team’s coach or any significant shifts in public opinion regarding the match’s likely outcome could move the market. Monitoring sports news and social media sentiment leading up to Sep 20, 2026 is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.