TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:51 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming La Liga 2 game between UD Almería and Celta Fortuna, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the UD Almería vs. Celta Fortuna match originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming La Liga 2 game between UD Almería and Celta Fortuna, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the UD Almería vs. Celta Fortuna match originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely buying and selling contracts representing their beliefs about the final result. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions for the exact score of the Almería vs. Celta Fortuna match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Almería vs. Celta Fortuna match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the final score reported by official sources for the game. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, reflecting the actual result of the sporting event.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Almería or Celta Fortuna would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also cause the market to react. Unexpected announcements related to the game, such as a change in venue or kickoff time, could also trigger movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ chances of winning will likely be reflected in the market price.