TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for UConn and Southern Miss in their college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds listed.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public perception and betting biases found in traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract action on both sides, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate than sportsbook odds, as they incorporate a broader range of information and perspectives. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible team total outcomes for UConn. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices that accurately reflect their beliefs, as they can profit by correctly predicting the final team total. The more traders participate, the more efficient and accurate the pricing becomes, offering a dynamic assessment of the event's potential.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total for UConn in their game against Southern Miss will be sourced from official game statistics. Once these statistics are publicly available and verified, the market will settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on the actual performance of the team.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key UConn players, changes in the Southern Miss defensive strategy, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching decisions would also likely cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also impact the price, as traders on Kalshi may adjust their positions to reflect broader market trends. Monitoring these signals can offer insights into potential price fluctuations.