TOTAL VOLUME:

$146.7b

24H VOL:

$162,970,420

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,781,800,361

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,740,912,349

501,518

Markets across

37,286

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,933

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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UCLA vs Oregon
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What is the result of UCLA vs Oregon?

Volume:
$18,814,521

UCLA

 - Kalshi

UCLA - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 7:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCLA

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,007,006
N/A
N/A
$4,294,047
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon

0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,807,514
N/A
N/A
$4,680,814
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether UCLA will win its college football game against Oregon. Currently, the probability of UCLA winning on Kalshi is 81.0%, while Oregon winning is at 18.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Oregon wins the match scheduled for October 10, 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the originally scheduled time, the market remains active and resolves according to the final score. If the game is cancelled or does not begin within 48 hours of the scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the UCLA vs Oregon game tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes changes over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $18,814,521, with $16,491,255 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely result of the game, offering a dynamic alternative to traditional polling or analysis.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. Early in the market's life, you might see discrepancies, but as more information becomes available – such as injury reports or team news – the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with those found at sportsbooks, though they may still diverge based on differing incentives and information access. It's a useful comparison point for assessing the perceived value of different outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the UCLA vs Oregon game, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current market reflects the collective judgment of those actively trading.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the UCLA vs Oregon game, as officially reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result of this market.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key player injuries on either the UCLA or Oregon teams would be a major catalyst, as would any significant changes in team performance or coaching strategies. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, major shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, can influence the collective beliefs of traders on Kalshi, leading to price adjustments and increased volume. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential market movements.