TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$162,970,420
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,740,912,349
501,518
Markets across
37,286
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,933
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether UCLA will win its college football game against Oregon. Currently, the probability of UCLA winning on Kalshi is 81.0%, while Oregon winning is at 18.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Oregon wins the match scheduled for October 10, 2026.
The market resolves based on the official result of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the originally scheduled time, the market remains active and resolves according to the final score. If the game is cancelled or does not begin within 48 hours of the scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. Early in the market's life, you might see discrepancies, but as more information becomes available – such as injury reports or team news – the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with those found at sportsbooks, though they may still diverge based on differing incentives and information access. It's a useful comparison point for assessing the perceived value of different outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the UCLA vs Oregon game, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current market reflects the collective judgment of those actively trading.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the UCLA vs Oregon game, as officially reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key player injuries on either the UCLA or Oregon teams would be a major catalyst, as would any significant changes in team performance or coaching strategies. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, major shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, can influence the collective beliefs of traders on Kalshi, leading to price adjustments and increased volume. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential market movements.