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OPEN INTEREST:
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399,592
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 26, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points UCLA and Maryland will score specifically in the third quarter of their college football game on September 26, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of the UCLA vs Maryland college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the combined third-quarter points exceed the specified threshold for each market (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes for the total points scored in the 3rd quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the UCLA vs Maryland game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and widely available sports news outlets. The market will settle to 100, representing the total points scored during that period, and traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UCLA or Maryland would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact scoring, could also play a role. In-game performance during the first and second quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could shift expectations for the 3rd quarter. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from sports commentators could also impact trader sentiment and move the market.