TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance difference between UCLA and Maryland specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled college football game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other in that single quarter, without considering the overall game result.
The event determines whether either UCLA or Maryland wins the third quarter of their college football game by a specified margin. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone. If Maryland wins the third quarter by more than the designated point spread (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), the relevant 'Maryland wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if UCLA achieves the required margin, the corresponding 'UCLA wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original schedule, all markets remain active and resolve based on the official third-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or completion status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive view of expectations for the UCLA vs Maryland 3rd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts indicating a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, reflecting the collective intelligence of those participating. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on any perceived mispricing in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final 3rd quarter spread of the UCLA vs Maryland game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process relies on publicly available game data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the UCLA or Maryland teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s style of play, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect trader sentiment. Even significant betting action in traditional sportsbooks could indirectly influence this market as information spreads and traders adjust their positions.