TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 2:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of a college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed to resolve as 'Yes'. The outcomes depend solely on the game's first-quarter scoring dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of the UCLA vs Maryland college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of people believe the sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can buy contracts, driving up the price and potentially creating a discrepancy. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as the event approaches, but this isn’t always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a potential total score for the first quarter of the UCLA vs Maryland game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The market aggregates these individual assessments to create a collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the first quarter of the UCLA vs Maryland game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams in the first quarter will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UCLA or Maryland teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or starting lineups could shift expectations. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.