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404,028

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VS.

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UCLA vs. Maryland
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of UCLA vs. Maryland?

Volume:
$2,486,521

UCLA

 - Kalshi

UCLA - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 4:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCLA

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,122,184
N/A
N/A
$735,584
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UCLA vs. Maryland

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$580,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70,432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,909
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,788
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -19.5

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UCLA O/U 34.5

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2Q O/U 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3Q Moneyline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Maryland

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$660,384
N/A
N/A
$417,876
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 218

Intro

This market tracks the total number of 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the UCLA versus Maryland college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of UCLA vs. Maryland: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 resolving to ‘Yes’ is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on data reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 26th, as the outcome will depend on in-game play calling and success rates on 4th down attempts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The group contains a wide array of markets with differing resolution criteria, primarily focused on point spreads and totals, creating significant SKU risk.Hero tip: Prioritize the core 'winner' market for simplicity. Be mindful of the numerous spread and total markets on Polymarket, as they introduce complexity and potential for conflicting signals.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either UCLA or Maryland wins the game. This is a simple binary outcome.
  • Polymarket: Offers a multitude of markets based on point spreads (UCLA vs. Maryland), over/under totals, and team totals, each with specific resolution conditions based on point differences and game scores. All markets have a 50/50 resolution in the event of a cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between UCLA and Maryland, scheduled for September 26 at 1:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. This market will resolve to "Maryland" if Maryland win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the UCLA vs Maryland college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It’s possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities derived from both sources, but transaction costs and market liquidity should be considered.

Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to a number of factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in market design, such as the types of contracts offered or the liquidity provided, can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing levels of information available to traders on each platform, or varying interpretations of the same information, can lead to divergent predictions. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads.