TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:13 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for UCLA and California in their college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold (e.g., California over 13.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and guarantee profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see this market move in response to news, injuries, or changes in public perception, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sports betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the UCLA and California team totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the market price dynamically adjusts, converging towards a collective assessment of the likely outcome. The current market reflects the aggregated insights of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both UCLA and California will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total points scored by both teams in the game. Any overtime periods will be included in the final score. The resolution will be based on the official results reported by the governing athletic body.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Key player injuries or unexpected starting lineup changes for either UCLA or California would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. News regarding weather conditions, which could impact scoring, could also play a role. Additionally, any major announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions could move the market. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information.