TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead after the third quarter of a college football game between UCLA and California. It provides a way to speculate on the in-game momentum and performance of both teams during a specific segment of the match.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the third quarter of the UCLA vs California college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. If California scores more points in that quarter, the 'California wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If UCLA scores more points, the 'UCLA wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply variations in opinion. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it might suggest an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the third quarter. The market’s price discovery process aggregates diverse perspectives into a single, forward-looking estimate.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team has the higher score at the end of the third quarter of the UCLA vs California game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first or second quarter of the game would also likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and potentially signal a change in market expectations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market and potentially identify trading opportunities.