TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:25 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between UCLA and California. Outcomes depend solely on the scoring margin during that specific quarter, ignoring overall game results.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of play in the UCLA vs California college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with outcomes determined by whether UCLA or California achieves a winning margin exceeding the stated threshold in that quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third-quarter spread of the UCLA vs California game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports organization. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The market will close prior to the end of the game to allow for accurate resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UCLA or California teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or prominent sports commentators, could impact trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.