TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:25 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored in the second half of a college football game between UCLA and California. Each threshold represents a specific point total that, if exceeded by the combined scores of both teams, determines the outcome of that particular market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the second half (excluding overtime) of the UCLA vs California college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold: if the combined second-half points exceed the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5, etc.), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. For all markets, only points scored during the second half (excluding overtime) count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see discrepancies, as each venue processes information and risk differently.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the second half total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those who misjudge the outcome risk losing their investment. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the UCLA versus California game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The total points scored by both teams during the second half will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UCLA or California would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect scoring, could also move the market. Unexpected shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or social media trends, could also play a role. Finally, any significant in-game events during the first half could cause traders to adjust their predictions and alter the price.