TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many touchdowns are scored through receptions. It examines whether each team reaches certain thresholds of receiving touchdowns during the match.
The event evaluates whether Pittsburgh or UCF achieves specified thresholds of receiving touchdowns in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular team and a minimum number of receiving touchdowns required for resolution. A receiving touchdown is counted when a player catches the ball and scores in the end zone, including cases where the player recovers their own fumble and scores. Touchdowns scored by other players after recovering a fumble by the receiving player do not count. All receiving touchdowns, including those scored in overtime, are considered for the totals. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from the count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it proceeds as scheduled. If the game does not start within this window, the markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the game. Examining these differences can sometimes reveal potentially valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, a team scoring a touchdown. As more traders buy contracts predicting touchdowns, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning the price fluctuates with each trade executed. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded with gains from their successful contracts.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether any team scores a touchdown during the UCF vs Pittsburgh football game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if touchdowns were scored by either team. The final price of the contracts will reflect the outcome, with contracts paying out $1.00 for those predicting a touchdown and $0.00 for those predicting no touchdowns.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries on either the UCF or Pittsburgh teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team formations could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis that alters public perception of the teams' offensive capabilities could lead to price fluctuations in this market before Sep 12, 2026.