TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football matchup between UCF and Pittsburgh. It focuses solely on performance during the last quarter of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on who holds the scoring advantage in that specific segment of the game.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the fourth quarter of regulation play in the UCF vs Pittsburgh college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. If Pittsburgh scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'Pittsburgh wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If UCF scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'UCF wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points in the fourth quarter, the 'Tie 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Note that only points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation count toward these outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals betting based on their own analysis. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, leading to potentially different probabilities for each outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the level of conviction behind each prediction, and the price movements reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the fourth quarter of the UCF vs Pittsburgh game will be declared the winner of this market. The result will be determined by the official game statistics and final score, as reported by a trusted sports news source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Significant in-game events, such as early scoring drives or key defensive stops, will likely cause rapid price movements. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the dynamics driving price changes in this market.