TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored exclusively in the final quarter of a college football matchup, with various thresholds defining different outcomes based on the total points scored in that period.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the UCF vs Pittsburgh college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the 4th quarter of regulation time. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they may have bet on.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook’s odds are miscalibrated, or that new information hasn’t been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s a useful comparison point for anyone analyzing the game.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official final score of the 4th quarter of the UCF vs Pittsburgh game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total points scored by both teams during the fourth quarter, as recorded by official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the outcome falls within the range of possible contract values, and the winning contracts will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UCF or Pittsburgh would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. In-game performance during the first three quarters, especially if one team establishes a substantial lead, might lead traders to adjust their expectations for the 4th quarter scoring pace. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-game strategy shifts could also play a role.