TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of an upcoming college football game between UCF and Pittsburgh. The outcome depends solely on the performance during the second quarter of play, regardless of the overall game result.
If Pittsburgh wins the 2nd quarter of the UCF vs Pittsburgh college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UCF wins the 2nd quarter of the UCF vs Pittsburgh college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the UCF vs Pittsburgh college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp action. Sportsbooks set initial odds to balance betting volume, while this market's prices are determined solely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on new information, the prices in this market continuously update as new traders enter and exit positions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the prediction market aggregates diverse perspectives on the UCF vs Pittsburgh game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—UCF winning the 2nd quarter or Pittsburgh winning the 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the 2nd quarter between UCF and Pittsburgh will be determined based on the official game results. The market will settle to 100 for the winning team’s quarter and 0 for the losing team’s quarter. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UCF or Pittsburgh would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy or unexpected weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, early performance in the first quarter of the game, or even pre-game reports on team morale, could cause the market to react. Public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, may also contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.