TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between UCAM Murcia and Basquet Girona in Spain's Liga ACB league. The result depends solely on which team wins the match as originally scheduled. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific resolution guidelines to ensure fairness.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game between UCAM Murcia and Basquet Girona, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take the opposite position, driving the price on Kalshi towards what they perceive as the true probability. This dynamic can lead to differences in implied probabilities between this market and traditional sports betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise, and vice-versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by participant activity.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the UCAM Murcia versus Basquet Girona Liga ACB game. The platform will verify the final score against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even changes in public sentiment based on sports news and analysis, could also drive trading activity. Major upsets in other Liga ACB games could shift overall expectations and affect how traders value the potential outcomes of the UCAM Murcia versus Basquet Girona matchup.