TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. San Diego State Aztecs (W)
Volume:
$115,029
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
UC Irvine Anteaters women's basketball team plays San Diego State Aztecs on March 19, 2026, at 12:00 AM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with the final score including any overtime periods determining the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for either outcome (both teams winning), creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot resolve NO. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner outcome. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable and creates irreconcilable settlement logic between the two platforms.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's market — it contains a critical logical flaw where both possible game outcomes (UC Irvine wins OR San Diego State wins) trigger YES resolution, making NO resolution impossible. Polymarket's market is the only reliable settlement mechanism for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if San Diego State wins AND YES if UC Irvine wins, leaving no outcome that resolves NO. This creates a logical contradiction: 'If San Diego St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If UC Irvine wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves to exactly one named winner (either 'UC Irvine Anteaters' or 'San Diego State Aztecs') based on final score, with cancellation-only 50-50 resolution as the sole exception. 'If the UC Irvine Anteaters win, the market will resolve to UC Irvine Anteaters. If the San Diego State Aztecs win, the market will resolve to San Diego State Aztecs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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