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UC Davis vs. SMU
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of UC Davis vs SMU?

Volume:
$286,218

SMU

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 7:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SMU

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$117,911
N/A
N/A
$82,433
Settled
Yes
predict

UC Davis vs. SMU

View
N/A
N/A
—
$11,803
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -30.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -23.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,003
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -13.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$4,066
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -17.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -31.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 34.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -29.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -25.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -24.5

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 60.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -16.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -33.5

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -27.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -32.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 56.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 206

Description

This event group centers around the college football game between UC Davis and SMU scheduled for September 12th. Markets exist on the winner of the game and on the number of rushing touchdowns scored by each team. The markets specify handling for ties, postponements, and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' resolution for either team winning, while Polymarket and Predict require specifying the winning team.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi market unless you understand its unusual resolution criteria. Focus on Polymarket and Predict for standard win-condition bets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'UC Davis' if UC Davis wins, 'SMU' if SMU wins. Tie resolves 50-50. Postponement delays resolution. Cancellation resolves 50-50.
  • Predict: Identical resolution criteria to Polymarket: Resolves to 'UC Davis' if UC Davis wins, 'SMU' if SMU wins. Tie resolves 50-50. Postponement delays resolution. Cancellation resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if *either* UC Davis or SMU wins. This is a fundamentally different market than the others.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between UC Davis and SMU, scheduled for September 12 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UC Davis" if UC Davis win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the UC Davis versus SMU college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. If SMU wins the game, the SMU market resolves to Yes, and the UC Davis market resolves to No. Conversely, if UC Davis wins, the UC Davis market resolves to Yes, and the SMU market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. The event operates independently of any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between UC Davis and SMU, scheduled for September 12 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UC Davis" if UC Davis win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the UC Davis vs. SMU matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities, volume of $286,218, and 24-hour volume at $256,919. It offers a consensus view of how traders on different platforms price this market, highlighting any notable shifts in sentiment as the game approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more casual traders, while the other draws serious investors, each influencing the price dynamics. This can lead to divergent probabilities even for the same underlying event.