TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between UAB and Illinois. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter to determine the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the UAB vs Illinois college football game scheduled for September 3, 2026. If Illinois wins the second quarter by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points), the corresponding 'Illinois wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if UAB wins the second quarter by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), the corresponding 'UAB wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi for this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and lower liquidity. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analyst assessments and broader public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can create unique pricing especially for niche matchups like the second quarter spread. Traders may price in additional factors such as recent team performance trends or quarterback matchups, potentially offering sharper or divergent lines compared to standard sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual point spread in the second quarter of the game, which will be compared against the market’s settled terms. Traders can track confirmed scores from official game results or reputable sports news sources to anticipate the market’s final settlement.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or major performance shifts leading up to the game could all move this market. Coach strategies revealed in press conferences, lineup changes announced before the second quarter, and even early-game momentum that hints at a potential second-quarter swing can shift trader expectations. Any public updates that affect the perceived likelihood of a specific spread will be reflected in real-time price adjustments on Kalshi as the event nears.