TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional boxing match between Tyshawn Williams and Antonio Monteiro scheduled for September 15, 2026. It focuses on how many rounds the fight lasts, specifically whether it concludes before reaching certain round thresholds. The result depends entirely on the actual duration of the contest as it unfolds during the live event.
The market resolves based on the round in which the Tyshawn Williams vs. Antonio Monteiro Contender Series fight ends. If the bout concludes before round 2, the first market condition is met. If the fight stops before round 3, the second market condition is satisfied. Both markets share the same event context and are subject to the same disclaimers regarding Kalshi's lack of official affiliation with the governing league. The resolution hinges solely on the actual number of rounds completed in the live contest, with all trademarks and branding belonging to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own beliefs. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. It’s a useful comparison point for informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Williams vs Monteiro fight. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The market’s depth and liquidity are also visible, showing the volume of contracts available at different price points.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tyshawn Williams versus Antonio Monteiro fight, specifically determining whether the fight concludes within the specified round. The official decision, as announced by the relevant boxing authorities, will serve as the basis for determining which outcome is settled as the winner in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 16, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift expectations. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and impact trading volume. Any updates on the fighters' physical condition or strategic approaches are likely to be closely watched by traders, potentially leading to significant price movements as they adjust their assessments of the likely outcome of the Williams vs Monteiro fight.