TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Contender Series fight scheduled between Tyshawn Williams and Antonio Monteiro, this event determines if the bout lasts all scheduled rounds without either fighter being stopped.
If the Tyshawn Williams vs. Antonio Monteiro Contender Series fight originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 goes the distance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available, but differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the fight going the distance. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect changing expectations. The current price indicates the implied probability of the fight going the distance, with higher prices suggesting a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring. Trading volume plays a key role in price discovery, as it signals the level of conviction behind different viewpoints.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the fight between Tyshawn Williams and Antonio Monteiro goes the full scheduled distance, as determined by the official fight result. The official decision will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome is triggered. Traders will be able to see the final result and any relevant supporting information on Kalshi following the event's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 16, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference comments could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the fighters’ recent performances or any controversies surrounding the event could also have a significant impact. Publicly available analysis from boxing experts and any shifts in betting action at sportsbooks might also influence trading activity on Kalshi. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters’ chances of winning or the likelihood of the fight going the distance has the potential to move the market.