TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 84M
- Kalshi
Above 84M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved May 30, 2026
Closed: May 30, 8:01 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Tyler, The Creator will accumulate at least 83 million streams globally during the week of May 22–28, 2026, based on Luminate data. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate worldwide streaming counts for that specific tracking week, with results expected by June 1, 2026. Watch for any major album releases, tour announcements, or viral moments during the May 22–28 window that could drive streaming volume.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus on Tyler, The Creator's weekly streaming performance, often diverging from traditional music industry analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on historical streaming trends, chart performance, and tour schedules, prediction markets incorporate live betting activity and immediate price discovery. Analysts typically publish quarterly or annual projections, whereas prediction markets update continuously as new streaming data and cultural events emerge. The market-implied probability offers a dynamic, crowd-sourced alternative to static analyst estimates, particularly useful for tracking week-to-week momentum shifts in Tyler's Luminate streams.
The Tyler, The Creator: Weekly Streams market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for the specified weekly measurement period. The contract settles YES if Tyler, The Creator's total streams meet or exceed the stated threshold, or NO if streams fall below it. Traders should monitor Luminate's weekly reporting schedule and any official announcements from the platform or Tyler's team that may affect final stream counts. Once the measurement window closes and data is verified, the market locks and payouts are distributed accordingly.
Several catalysts could shift odds for Tyler, The Creator: Weekly Streams before resolution. New music releases, surprise album drops, or high-profile collaborations during the measurement week would likely drive streaming volume upward. Tour announcements, festival appearances, or viral social media moments can amplify listener engagement. Conversely, competing releases from major artists or shifts in playlist rotation on Luminate could suppress streams. Chart performance, radio play, and streaming platform algorithm changes also influence weekly totals. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports published mid-week may trigger sharp repricing as traders adjust expectations based on emerging performance signals.
