TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 73M
- Kalshi
Above 73M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 27, 2026
Closed: Jun 27, 3:40 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Tyler, The Creator's worldwide streaming performance during the week of June 19-25, 2026. Participants predict whether his total streams will exceed various threshold levels, with data sourced from Luminate Data and published approximately 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Tyler, The Creator's total worldwide streams during the June 19-25, 2026 tracking week as reported by Luminate Data. Each outcome corresponds to a specific stream threshold, with Yes resolution occurring if the artist exceeds that threshold. Data publication occurs approximately 48 hours after the tracking week concludes. Luminate Data serves as the neutral provider of streaming metrics and does not endorse or participate in market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than point estimates. While music industry analysts may publish periodic reports on streaming trends, this market aggregates live trader conviction through dynamic odds. The difference reveals whether the crowd is more or less bullish than published expert views, making it a useful cross-check for spotting consensus gaps or emerging sentiment shifts in how the industry expects weekly performance to unfold.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the current liquidity and disagreement among participants on the probability of each scenario. As new information emerges or trading interest shifts, the price adjusts in real time, ensuring the odds stay aligned with the latest market sentiment on weekly streaming performance.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. The specific result will depend on verified streaming data corresponding to the event parameters. Once the resolution window closes and the underlying metric is finalized, the market settles and traders' positions are paid out according to the outcome that occurred.
Several catalysts could shift odds in this market before resolution. New music releases, chart performance announcements, or viral social media moments can drive streaming surges. Industry news—such as playlist placements, award nominations, or tour announcements—often influences listener engagement. Additionally, broader streaming platform trends, algorithm changes, or competitive releases from other artists may impact weekly performance. Real-time streaming data leaks or early reports can also trigger sharp repricing as traders adjust positions based on emerging evidence.
