TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 76M
- Kalshi
Above 76M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 20, 2026
Closed: Jun 20, 2:21 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Tyler, The Creator's worldwide streaming performance during the week of June 12-18, 2026. Streaming data is collected from major music platforms and published by Luminate Data, typically within 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Tyler, The Creator's total worldwide streams during the June 12-18, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data. Each outcome corresponds to a specific streaming threshold, with resolution occurring when the artist's streams exceed the designated level. Data publication typically occurs within approximately 48 hours following the end of the tracking period.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-time, incentivized trader behavior rather than static projections. While music industry analysts may rely on historical trends and seasonal patterns, this market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who have financial stakes in accuracy. Discrepancies between the two can signal where traders see underappreciated catalysts—such as new releases, tour announcements, or playlist placements—that analysts may have overlooked or underweighted in their models.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts tied to specific streaming volume outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the probability that weekly streams will fall within a defined range, with higher prices indicating stronger trader conviction. As new information emerges—such as chart performance or social media momentum—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift and revealing updated market expectations in real time.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against verified streaming data from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether actual weekly stream counts fall within the predicted range specified by the market's outcome categories. Once the relevant reporting period closes and figures are publicly available, the market settles based on which outcome bracket the final data matches, determining which contract holders receive their payouts.
Several catalysts can shift this market significantly: new album or single releases, playlist placements on major platforms like Spotify or Apple Music, tour announcements, and social media viral moments. Chart performance, award nominations, and collaborations with high-profile artists can all drive streaming surges. Additionally, broader music industry trends—such as shifts in hip-hop consumption or changes to streaming algorithms—may influence trader expectations. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports can also trigger rapid repricing as participants update their forecasts.
