TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tyler Herro's Next Team
kalshi

Tyler Herro's Next Team

Volume:
$175,430

Milwaukee

 - Kalshi

Milwaukee - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 1:20 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Milwaukee

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$74,690
N/A
N/A
$31,163
3w 16h
Yes
kalshi

Detroit

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$66,930
N/A
N/A
$25,904
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Charlotte

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,776
N/A
N/A
$10,935
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Miami

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,991
N/A
N/A
$7,143
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Orlando

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,277
N/A
N/A
$5,277
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Portland

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,642
N/A
N/A
$2,466
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Minnesota

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,629
N/A
N/A
$1,629
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Boston

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,318
N/A
N/A
$1,318
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Toronto

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,185
N/A
N/A
$1,185
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Los Angeles L

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$483
N/A
N/A
$483
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Dallas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
$476
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Los Angeles C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$438
N/A
N/A
$438
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Brooklyn

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$215
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Denver

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
$188
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Golden State

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$113
3w 16h
No
kalshi

New Orleans

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Memphis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$38
3w 16h
No
kalshi

New York

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Philadelphia

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Chicago

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Cleveland

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Indiana

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Atlanta

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Washington

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 16h
No
kalshi

Oklahoma City

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 16h
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This event tracks which NBA team Tyler Herro will play for next, or whether he will retire or leave professional basketball entirely before October 21, 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific team or the retirement/no team scenario.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on Tyler Herro's team affiliation as of October 21, 2026. Each team-specific market resolves to Yes if Herro joins that team before the deadline. If Herro remains on his team at the time of market issuance through October 21, 2026, that team's market resolves to Yes. The "Retires / No Team" market resolves to Yes if Herro officially retires before October 21, 2026 or is not on any NBA team by that date. Exactly one market will resolve to Yes based on Herro's status on the resolution date.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Tyler Herro free agency market displays real-time odds on which NBA team will sign the guard next. Traders can monitor price movements, historical trends, and current probabilities assigned to each potential destination. The interface shows 24-hour volume and cumulative activity, helping participants track how sentiment shifts as free agency unfolds. This live data reflects the collective forecast of market participants betting on where Herro will land, updated continuously as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief about outcomes. This market aggregates thousands of independent forecasts without the house edge built into traditional sports betting. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than expert consensus, since traders risk real capital on their convictions rather than following conventional wisdom.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible team outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out a fixed amount if that team signs Herro, and traders profit or lose based on entry and exit prices. The bid-ask spread reflects uncertainty and liquidity; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence in a particular outcome, while wider spreads suggest genuine disagreement among participants about the likelihood of each destination.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, once the outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome is determined by which team Herro officially signs with as a free agent. Resolution hinges on confirmed reporting from established sports news sources and official NBA announcements. Until that point, traders can adjust positions as free agency progresses, trades occur, or contract negotiations shift the landscape.

Several catalysts could shift odds significantly. Reported interest from specific teams, coaching changes, roster moves by contenders, and salary cap developments all influence trader positioning. Herro's performance in upcoming seasons, injury reports, and public statements about his preferences matter too. Trade rumors, front-office changes, and competing free agent signings reshape the competitive landscape. Each development prompts traders to reassess probabilities, creating price swings that reflect new information flowing into the market.