TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 2:10 PM EST
Kalshi
The event features a competitive match between two esports teams in a strategic first-person shooter game. The teams will battle in a tournament setting, aiming to secure their victory through skillful gameplay and strategic planning. The outcome of the match will be determined by the number of maps played during the competition.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the THE POKAL 2026: Twisted Saints Esports vs. CGN Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Twisted Saints vs. CGN Esports match, the prediction market may show a different probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying risk appetites among participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract that pays out if a specific number of maps are played in the Twisted Saints vs. CGN Esports match.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of maps played in the Twisted Saints vs. CGN Esports match will be the determining factor. This will be based on official results published by the tournament organizers and widely reported by esports news outlets. The final price on Kalshi will reflect the actual outcome, and contracts will pay out accordingly based on whether the traded outcome matched the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either the Twisted Saints or CGN Esports could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant bets placed by well-known or respected traders on Kalshi might cause others to reassess their own predictions, leading to price fluctuations. General shifts in public perception of each team’s chances could also play a role.