TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 9:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional Ettan soccer match between two teams. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the match result as it stands after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Tvaakers vs Trelleborgs professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for September 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Tvaakers, a win for Trelleborgs, or a tie. If the game concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, but this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to unexpected developments than sportsbooks, offering a potentially more dynamic assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the bid-ask spread, providing insights into the liquidity and confidence surrounding each possible result. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tvaakers vs Trelleborgs match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against established standards to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could impact the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on the day of the match, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the game can influence trading activity and shift the market price. Unexpected upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events could also indirectly affect this market.