TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 12:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This FIFA World Cup soccer match between Turkiye and USA on June 25, 2026 will be analyzed for the combined total number of corner kicks awarded to both teams throughout the entire game, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Corner kicks are awarded when the ball goes out of bounds over the goal line after last being touched by the defending team.
Resolution is determined by counting the combined corner kicks awarded to both Turkiye and USA during the complete match on June 25, 2026, encompassing regulation play, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. The combined corner total is evaluated against thresholds of 8, 9, 10, 11, and 12 corners. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome that resolves to Yes if the combined corner count achieves or exceeds that threshold. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their forecasts. This market aggregates dispersed information from many participants, which can surface insights sportsbooks miss—particularly for niche props like total corners. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue undervalues or overvalues the outcome relative to the other.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the last traded price reflects the consensus forecast at that moment. The spread between bid and ask widens or narrows based on liquidity and conviction, so tighter spreads often signal higher confidence in the outcome among active participants.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the total corner count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final tally of corner kicks awarded during regulation and any extra time played. No further action is required from you; the platform will confirm the result and settle all positions automatically once the data is confirmed.
Team news—injuries to key defenders or attacking players—can shift expectations around corner frequency, since weakened backlines often concede more set pieces. Tactical announcements or lineup changes closer to kickoff may also trigger repricing. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments known for different whistle tendencies, and recent form trends in how aggressively each side attacks or defends can all influence corner volume. Live updates during the match itself will drive final adjustments as the game unfolds.