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$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Turkiye vs USA: First Half Winner
kalshi

Turkiye vs USA: First Half Winner

Volume:
$2,430,474

Turkiye

 - Kalshi

Turkiye - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 10:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Turkiye

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$676,325
N/A
N/A
$387,520
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USA

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,230,862
N/A
N/A
$720,678
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$523,287
N/A
N/A
$237,742
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Turkiye will be leading after the first 45 minutes of their FIFA World Cup match against the USA. On Kalshi, Turkiye winning the first half stands at 82.0%, while a tied first half is at 17.0%. The market resolves based on the official result after 45 minutes plus stoppage time in the Turkiye vs USA game scheduled for June 25, 2026. Watch for the match kickoff on June 25, 2026, which will determine the first-half outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team is ahead after 45 minutes plus stoppage time in the first half of the Turkiye vs USA professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026. If the first half ends with equal goals, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader beliefs about first-half outcomes, often differing from traditional analyst forecasts and sports betting lines. Markets incorporate real-time information and incentivize accuracy through financial stakes, whereas analysts may rely on historical form, team composition, and tactical analysis. Comparing Kalshi probabilities to published expert predictions and pre-match analysis can reveal where consensus diverges. Such gaps sometimes highlight undervalued or overvalued outcomes, though both approaches have merit in assessing match likelihood.

On Kalshi, Turkiye vs USA: First Half Winner is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the contract settling at 100 cents if their chosen outcome occurs or 0 if it does not. The current market price represents the collective forecast of Kalshi traders. Prices adjust dynamically as new information emerges and trading volume fluctuates, allowing participants to enter or exit positions throughout the lead-up to the match.

The Turkiye vs USA: First Half Winner market resolves on Jun 26, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official first-half result of the Turkiye versus USA match. The outcome is established once the first half concludes and the score is finalized by the match officials. Markets typically resolve shortly after the half-time whistle, once the result is confirmed and verified. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.

Several factors may shift odds for Turkiye vs USA: First Half Winner before the June 2026 match. Team news such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes can significantly alter market sentiment. Recent form, head-to-head records, and performance in qualifying rounds will influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and venue details may also impact first-half dynamics. Major geopolitical or sporting developments affecting either nation could sway perception. As match day approaches, late-breaking roster updates and pre-game analysis typically drive final price adjustments on Kalshi.