TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 10:51 PM EST
Kalshi
A World Cup soccer match between two teams will be tracked for total goals scored during the first half, with multiple threshold levels monitored.
Resolution is based on the combined goals scored by Turkiye and USA during the first half only of their FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 25, 2026. Only goals scored during the first 45 minutes count toward resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price. Goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because markets aggregate real-time trader behavior and information flow, while analysts publish periodic reports based on historical data and subjective judgment. For the Turkiye vs USA first-half total, market odds reflect live betting patterns and breaking team news, whereas sports analysts may rely on pre-match statistical models or squad composition analysis. Comparing the two can reveal where professional opinion and crowd wisdom align or diverge, helping you identify potential value or consensus blind spots before the match begins.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Turkiye vs USA first-half total is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of each outcome. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price directly represents the implied probability. As new information emerges—team lineups, injury reports, or weather conditions—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The market price at any moment represents the collective forecast of all active traders on that platform, incorporating their expectations about first-half scoring.
The Turkiye vs USA: First Half Total market resolves on Jun 26, 2026, after the conclusion of the first half. The outcome is determined by the actual number of goals scored by both teams combined during the first 45 minutes of regular play. Once the first half ends and the official goal count is confirmed, the market settles based on whether the total meets, exceeds, or falls short of the specified threshold. Resolution occurs shortly after the match data is finalized and verified.
Several catalysts could shift odds for the Turkiye vs USA first-half total before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp price moves. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments can also influence scoring expectations. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or missed penalties will cause immediate repricing as traders update their forecasts for the remaining first-half minutes. Pre-match betting patterns and social media sentiment may also signal shifting confidence in high or low-scoring outcomes.