TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 10:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either team will achieve a decisive first-half lead of more than 1.5 goals in the Turkiye versus USA FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, the probability that Turkiye wins by over 1.5 goals in the first half stands at 4.0%, while the probability that USA wins by over 1.5 goals in the first half is 1.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result of the first half of the match scheduled for June 25, 2026. Watch the opening 45 minutes of play on June 25, 2026, as the first-half scoreline will directly determine the market outcome.
Resolution is determined by the goal differential during the first half only of the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 25, 2026. The market resolves Yes if either Turkiye wins by more than 1.5 goals or USA wins by more than 1.5 goals during the first 45 minutes. Only goals scored during the first half count; goals from extra time or penalties do not apply. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price.
On Kalshi, the Turkiye vs USA: First Half Spread is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the expected margin in the first half. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the final payout determined by the actual first-half result. Prices move based on order flow, new information, and shifting expectations about team performance. Liquidity and spreads on Kalshi depend on overall trading volume and participant interest in this specific matchup leading up to resolution on Jun 26, 2026.
The Turkiye vs USA: First Half Spread market resolves on Jun 26, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official first-half score and the spread outcome as recorded at the end of the first half. The market settles based on whether the actual point or goal differential matches the specified spread condition. Traders should verify the exact resolution criteria and data source on Kalshi to ensure clarity on how the first-half result will be measured and confirmed.
Several catalysts could shift odds for the Turkiye vs USA first-half spread. Team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments will influence expectations of offensive and defensive performance. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all impact first-half dynamics. Pre-match analysis and expert commentary may sway trader sentiment. Early match events—such as an early goal, red card, or injury—will reprice the market in real time. Monitor Kalshi closely as Jun 26, 2026 approaches and during the first half itself for rapid odds movement.