TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for July 6 at 12:00PM ET: If the Turkiye win, the market will resolve to "Turkiye". If the Switzerland win, the market will resolve to "Switzerland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for July 6 at 12:00PM ET: If the Turkiye win, the market will resolve to "Turkiye". If the Switzerland win, the market will resolve to "Switzerland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief without a built-in house edge. This market's odds may move faster or slower than traditional sportsbooks depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader betting public and prediction market participants disagree on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects its implied probability, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. As new information surfaces—team news, betting patterns, or expert analysis—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. This continuous repricing mechanism means the odds you see represent the most recent consensus among active participants on the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score and result as reported by recognized sports authorities. Until that point, traders can adjust positions based on pre-match developments, team announcements, or shifting expectations. Resolution is automatic once the event is confirmed, settling all positions according to the actual outcome.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports on star players, and recent form or head-to-head records. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, or public statements from managers can also shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions at the venue and betting market activity on traditional sportsbooks may influence prediction market prices. Late-breaking news about player availability or unexpected team news often triggers sharp price movements as traders reassess probabilities in real time.