TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 1:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final scoreline of the Turkiye vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup match on Kalshi. Bettors predict the precise outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with Paraguay winning 1-0 currently at 36.0% probability and a 1-1 draw at 32.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match scheduled for June 19, 2026. Watch the teams' recent form and lineup announcements leading up to the June 19 kickoff to assess scoring patterns and defensive strength.
The market resolves based on the final score of the Turkiye vs Paraguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 19, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome corresponds to a specific final scoreline, including all possible combinations of wins for either team, draws, and various goal differentials. The resolution is determined solely by the official match result at the conclusion of regulation time.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders here have real money at stake and face no house edge, which can yield sharper odds on niche outcomes like exact scores. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbooks reveals whether consensus leans bullish or bearish on specific scorelines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for each possible correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand; if more traders believe a 2–1 result is likely, its share price rises, while less-favored scorelines fall. You can enter limit or market orders to back your prediction, and your profit or loss is determined by the final price at which you exit or hold to resolution. The continuous auction format ensures prices reflect real-time conviction.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, once the Turkiye versus Paraguay match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time. Whichever correct score outcome matches the official result will be marked correct, and all shares in that outcome will be worth their full value while all other outcomes expire worthless. Early exit is always possible if you wish to lock in gains or cut losses before that date.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, especially if a key striker or defender is ruled out. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any tactical adjustments announced by either coach will influence trader expectations of likely scorelines. Weather conditions on match day and venue factors may also sway predictions. As the fixture approaches, late-breaking developments such as roster updates or pre-match statements often trigger sharp repricing. Monitoring sports news and team social media will help you stay ahead of market moves.