TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 4:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 0.5 goals will be scored in the Turkiye versus France UEFA Nations League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 0.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 85.0%. Resolution will be determined by the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by official sources. Keep a close watch on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score following the game originally scheduled for September 25, 2026, with final settlement expected by September 26, 2026.
The markets resolve based on whether the total goals scored by both Turkiye and France in their UEFA Nations League match exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The match must be the professional game originally scheduled for September 25, 2026, and only goals scored during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time count toward the total; goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. All markets share the same event context and resolution criteria, differing only in the goal thresholds that determine a 'Yes' outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of certain outcomes. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different perspectives on the same event.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally from the Turkiye vs France match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match – including any own goals and goals scored during extra time, but excluding penalty shootouts – will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Turkiye or France national teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts for the match location could also affect expectations, as could updates on team formations or tactical approaches. Additionally, any major shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams’ scoring potential could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.