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Turkiye vs France: Spread
kalshi

Turkiye vs France: Spread

Volume:
$580,977

France wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

France wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 4:48 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

France wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$444,863
N/A
N/A
$246,228
Settled
No
kalshi

France wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105,183
N/A
N/A
$61,745
Settled
No
kalshi

Turkiye wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,442
N/A
N/A
$13,847
Settled
No
kalshi

France wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,441
N/A
N/A
$5,192
Settled
No
kalshi

Turkiye wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,048
N/A
N/A
$1,048
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Turkiye and France, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Turkiye or France wins the professional UEFA Nations League soccer match originally scheduled for September 25, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Turkiye winning by more than 2.5 goals, Turkiye winning by more than 1.5 goals, France winning by more than 1.5 goals, and France winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the match concludes within these specified margins in favor of either team after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (but not including extra time or penalties), the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no regard for extended play or penalty decisions. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Turkiye vs France match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $556,390, and the total volume traded on this market is $580,977. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes shifts in real-time as traders buy and sell contracts. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment and allows you to analyze trading activity related to this specific event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available, offering a unique perspective on the likely result.

This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Turkiye vs France match, specifically the spread. The outcome will be determined by the official results published by the governing body of the competition. Traders will be able to see the final settlement price and receive payouts based on their positions in the market once the outcome is officially confirmed.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant shifts in team form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also lead to price movements. Major announcements from analysts or influential figures offering strong opinions on the likely outcome may also affect trading activity. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in the market's predictions.