TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Turkiye vs. Australia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Turkiye vs. Australia?

Volume:
$157,567

Australia

 - Kalshi

Australia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 7:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Australia

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,584
N/A
N/A
$46,765
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Turkiye

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,485
N/A
N/A
$37,479
Settled
No
polymarket

Turkiye vs. Australia

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a single FIBA Women's World Cup basketball game between Turkey and Australia. The markets resolve to either Turkey winning or Australia winning the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' outcome for either team winning, while Polymarket directly names the winning team. This is a semantic difference but could cause confusion.Hero tip: Focus on the actual game outcome, not the 'Yes/No' framing of Kalshi. Both markets will resolve based on the same event: which team wins.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Turkiye' if Turkey wins, 'Australia' if Australia wins. The result is determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Turkey or Australia wins the game. The game is originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 6 at 5:30AM ET: If the Turkiye win, the market will resolve to "Turkiye". If the Australia win, the market will resolve to "Australia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the Australia vs Turkiye women's professional FIBA World Cup basketball game scheduled for September 6, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Turkiye vs. Australia match. Currently, the aggregated view across these platforms indicates a strong consensus, with a combined volume of $157,567 and 24-hour volume of $157,367. This allows traders to see how the collective wisdom of the crowd assesses the likelihood of different results in this contest. The dashboard provides a unified view of market sentiment, combining data from multiple sources to offer a comprehensive perspective on the potential outcome of the Turkiye vs. Australia match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This market benefits from the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially incorporating information not readily available to sportsbooks. Consequently, discrepancies can arise, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage between the two types of markets.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading fees and market-specific rules can also influence price discovery. Furthermore, liquidity can differ significantly between the two venues; lower liquidity on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and deviations from the consensus view. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi may reflect different levels of confidence in the outcome, leading to observable price discrepancies in this market.