TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
A World Cup soccer match between two teams will be tracked for total goals scored during the first half, with multiple threshold levels monitored.
This event encompasses four progressive thresholds for first-half combined goal totals in the Tunisia vs Netherlands FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 25, 2026. Outcomes resolve Yes if the combined goals scored by both teams exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 goals respectively during the first half only. Only goals scored during the first 45 minutes count; goals from extra time or penalties are excluded. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi represent real-money consensus from traders and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on team form, historical head-to-head records, and tactical breakdowns, prediction markets incorporate those signals plus live trader conviction and betting patterns. For the Tunisia vs Netherlands first-half total, the market price reflects aggregated trader expectations about scoring pace and defensive setup. Comparing Kalshi odds to published expert predictions can reveal where the crowd sees value or where analysts hold contrarian views on first-half action.
On Kalshi, the Tunisia vs Netherlands first-half total is priced as binary contracts reflecting yes/no outcomes on a specific scoring threshold or total. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract moves between 0 and 100 cents based on order flow and trader positioning, with the implied probability derived from the contract price. As match conditions change—team news, weather, or betting momentum—traders adjust their bids and offers, causing the price to fluctuate. The tighter the spread between buy and sell prices, the more confident the market is in that outcome's likelihood.
The Tunisia vs Netherlands first-half total market resolves on Jun 26, 2026, following the completion of the first half of the match. Resolution is determined by the official first-half score or goal count recorded by the match officials and confirmed by the relevant governing body. Once the first half concludes, the outcome is locked in and contracts settle according to whether the actual first-half total met, exceeded, or fell short of the specified threshold. Traders should monitor official match updates and Kalshi's resolution announcement for final settlement confirmation.
Key catalysts for price movement include team lineup announcements, injury updates to key players, and pre-match tactical analysis. Weather conditions at kickoff—wind, rain, or extreme heat—can influence scoring pace and first-half tempo. Early match momentum, such as an early goal or red card, will shift trader expectations sharply once play begins. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can also move odds quickly. Monitor team news, official starting lineups, and live match commentary for signals that traders will react to before and during the first half.