TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 1:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Japan will win by more than 1.5 goals against Tunisia in their FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, the probability that Japan wins by over 1.5 goals stands at 84.0%. The market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Tunisia vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game. Watch the match on June 21, 2026, when the betting period closes and the outcome is determined.
Resolution is determined by the final score of the Tunisia vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 21, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The market evaluates goal differentials for both teams, with separate outcomes for Tunisia winning by more than 1.5 goals, Tunisia winning by more than 2.5 goals, Japan winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Japan winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves independently based on whether the specified margin is exceeded.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks adjust spreads to balance liability and lock in margins, while prediction markets move continuously based on supply and demand. For the Tunisia vs Japan spread, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the market is pricing the matchup tighter or wider than conventional books. Significant divergences may signal value opportunities or reflect differing assessments of team form and conditions.
On Kalshi, the Tunisia vs Japan: Spread market is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the spread outcome will fall within or outside a specified range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the final payout determined at resolution. The price you see represents the collective probability estimate of all active traders on the platform. Liquidity and order flow drive price discovery, so spreads between bid and ask reflect current market depth and conviction around the Tunisia–Japan matchup outcome.
The Tunisia vs Japan: Spread market resolves on Jun 21, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final spread result from the match. The market will settle based on whether the actual point or goal differential between Tunisia and Japan meets the predefined spread criteria established at market creation. Check the event details on Kalshi for the exact spread threshold and any tie-breaking rules specific to this fixture.
Key catalysts for the Tunisia vs Japan spread include team news such as injuries to star players, official lineup announcements, and recent form updates. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, or weather conditions at kickoff can also influence market pricing. International match momentum, head-to-head history, and betting volume spikes around match day typically drive volatility. Monitor official team social media, sports news outlets, and Kalshi order flow for real-time signals that may shift trader sentiment on the spread outcome before the final whistle.