TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tunisia vs. Cape Verde
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Tunisia vs. Cape Verde?

Volume:
$172,508

Tunisia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tunisia

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$66,804
N/A
N/A
$39,241
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tunisia (-5.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tunisia vs. Cape Verde

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cape Verde

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101,073
N/A
N/A
$44,560
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 144.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Tunisia and Cape Verde. The current aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, Spread: Tunisia (-5.5), is 99.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution governed by the official FIBA basketball rules. The final resolution will depend on the game scheduled for August 27, 2026, so keep an eye on that date for the event's conclusion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure divergence between team-specific outcome (Polymarket) and binary win detection (Kalshi)Hero tip: Traders should verify which market type they are trading. Kalshi's Yes outcome covers either team winning, while Polymarket requires specific team selection. Consider hedging positions across both markets if betting on game occurrence.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to specific team names (Tunisia or Cape Verde) with 50-50 split for entirely canceled games. Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market that resolves Yes for either team winning. Quote: If Tunisia wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Cape Verde wins... then the market resolves to Yes
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for August 27 at 6:00AM ET: If the Tunisia win, the market will resolve to "Tunisia". If the Cape Verde win, the market will resolve to "Cape Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Cape Verde vs Tunisia men’s professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for August 27, 2026, at 2:00 PM EDT. If Tunisia wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Cape Verde’s market resolves to No. Conversely, if Cape Verde wins, its market resolves to Yes, and Tunisia’s market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official outcome. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.