TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 6:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an international soccer qualifier between Tunisia and Botswana. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, reflecting the offensive performance of both teams during regular time.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Tunisia vs Botswana AFCON Qualifiers match scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count toward any market resolution. Each market has a different threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading activity in this market. It’s common to see prediction market prices converge towards what analysts and polls suggest is the most likely outcome, but the dynamic nature of trading can lead to divergences as new information emerges and traders react.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Tunisia vs Botswana match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a particular outcome drives its price up, indicating a greater perceived likelihood, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect collective predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Tunisia vs Botswana match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final match result to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Tunisian or Botswanan national teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts for the match location could also impact expectations, potentially favoring a lower-scoring game. Unexpected announcements about team formations or tactical changes could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, any significant public or expert analysis predicting a specific outcome could drive trading volume and influence prices in this market leading up to Sep 28, 2026.