TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 12:30 AM EST
Kalshi
A player from one national team will score a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player scores at least one goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals scored during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time are included; goals during penalty shootouts do not count. If a player does not enter any game during the tournament, their market resolves to No.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of independent traders' beliefs about which Tunisia players will score. Prediction market prices tend to react faster to breaking news—such as lineup changes or injury announcements—than sportsbooks do. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs on individual goalscorer probabilities.
Tunisia: Goalscorers contracts on Kalshi are priced as binary yes/no outcomes for each eligible player, with prices ranging from $0 to $1 reflecting the market's probability estimate. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy contracts at lower prices if they believe a player is underpriced to score, or sell if they think the odds are too high. Kalshi's order book matches buyers and sellers in real time, so prices move continuously based on new trades and market information. Each goalscorer contract settles independently once Tunisia's match concludes and official scoring data is confirmed.
The Tunisia: Goalscorers market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by official match records and confirmed goalscorer data from the relevant governing bodies. Each individual player contract settles based on whether that player scored at least one goal during the specified Tunisia match or tournament window. Once the match concludes and final scoring is verified, contracts paying out to correct predictions are credited and losing positions are closed. Early or late goals, own goals, and penalty kicks are typically evaluated according to standard football scoring rules.
Key catalysts for Tunisia: Goalscorers odds include team lineup announcements, player injuries or suspensions, and opponent strength. If a star striker is ruled out, odds for backup forwards typically rise. Tactical changes—such as Tunisia shifting to a more defensive formation—can lower overall goalscorer probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions on match day also influence prices. Pre-match press conferences, official team news, and betting market activity on related markets (like match winner or total goals) often precede significant price moves. Real-time updates during the match itself will drive final settlement.