TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The first map of this esports match will decide the market outcome, focusing solely on which team secures victory in this initial phase of competition. The result reflects strategic early-game performance.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins map 1 in their scheduled match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before or during play, markets resolve to the fair market price, with ongoing forfeits resolved by official results.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view shaped by community insights and recent in-game performance trends. While sportsbooks may rely on broader historical data and public betting patterns, prediction markets can react quickly to micro-events such as player form or strategy shifts, sometimes creating wider or tighter spreads.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market through continuous bidding and asking, driven by their assessments of team strength and recent performance metrics. The current implied probability reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants, updating instantly with each trade and providing a dynamic snapshot of market confidence.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match records, confirming which team secured the first map victory. No additional interpretation or external judgment is required beyond confirming the publicly reported match result.
Key signals that could shift this market include practice match results, player injuries or lineup changes, and analyst commentary on strategic advantages. Any unexpected developments in team preparation or recent tournament performance may also influence trader sentiment, causing rapid adjustments in implied probabilities as new information emerges closer to the event.