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Closed: Jul 21, 10:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves Yes if both Tulsa and Sacramento Republic each score at least one goal during the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time of their USL Championship match on August 5, 2026. Own goals are credited to the team that benefits from them.
If Tulsa and Sacramento Republic both score a goal in the Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic USL Championship match originally scheduled for Aug 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates thousands of individual forecasts into a probability estimate. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional oddsmakers and prediction market traders disagree, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued outcomes based on the latest team news and betting patterns.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing "yes" and "no" outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100, with each point representing a 1% implied probability. As traders place bids and asks, the market price adjusts to reflect the consensus forecast. You can enter limit or market orders to express your view, and your position updates in real time as the match approaches and new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, after the Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic match concludes. The outcome is determined by whether both teams score at least one goal during regulation and any extra time played. Once the final whistle sounds, the result is verified against credible public sources and the market settles accordingly. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout, while the losing side forfeits their stake.
Several factors can shift odds significantly before the match kicks off. Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp moves. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at the venue can all influence scoring expectations. Late-breaking roster updates or coaching decisions may cause repricing as traders reassess both teams' attacking and defensive capabilities. Monitoring official team communications and sports news outlets will help you stay ahead of market-moving developments.