TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific quarter in a college football game between Tulsa and Arkansas. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will dominate the third quarter by a certain margin, reflecting potential momentum shifts or strategic advantages during that period.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Tulsa and Arkansas exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve as 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets will resolve according to the official result of the third quarter. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, emphasizing the importance of in-game performance during that specific period.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can be a useful exercise for informed bettors, potentially identifying situations where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various scenarios for the Tulsa vs Arkansas game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the third quarter of the Tulsa vs Arkansas game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tulsa or Arkansas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to changes in the price as traders adjust their predictions for the Tulsa vs Arkansas spread.