TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 1:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Max Hans Rehberg in Tulln will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Tulln: Completed Match: Thiago Monteiro vs Max Hans Rehberg”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match schedule and results following September 7, 2026, as this is the originally scheduled date for the match at 4:00AM ET, and will determine if the match is completed and thus resolves this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Max Hans Rehberg in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Max Hans Rehberg. This market will resolve to 'Max Hans Rehberg' if Max Hans Rehberg advances against Thiago Monteiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to adjustments based on new information or changing sentiment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or biases present in each system. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to late-breaking news or developments related to the players involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monteiro vs Rehberg match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each player winning. This creates a real-time probability estimate based on the aggregated opinions of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tulln tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Max Hans Rehberg, as determined by official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or unexpected announcements about player form could shift the odds. Furthermore, updates on player rankings or head-to-head records could influence trader sentiment. Even social media discussions or expert analysis could contribute to price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. A surprising result in a related match could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities in this market.