TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 8:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lukas Pokorny and Andrew Paulson in the Tulln, Austria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Pokorny' if Lukas Pokorny advances against Andrew Paulson. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Paulson' if Andrew Paulson advances against Lukas Pokorny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lukas Pokorny and Andrew Paulson in the Tulln, Austria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Pokorny' if Lukas Pokorny advances against Andrew Paulson. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Paulson' if Andrew Paulson advances against Lukas Pokorny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by user predictions, can sometimes identify discrepancies or inefficiencies in sportsbook pricing. It’s important to remember that both sources have their strengths and weaknesses, and comparing them can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making when evaluating the potential outcome of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential result. This allows traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pokorny vs Paulson match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Lukas Pokorny or Andrew Paulson could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could also impact market sentiment. Unexpected developments during the match itself, such as a key advantage gained by one player, would likely cause rapid price adjustments. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market before it resolves.