TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 9:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Filip Jianu in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Filip Jianu. This market will resolve to 'Filip Jianu' if Filip Jianu advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Filip Jianu in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Filip Jianu. This market will resolve to 'Filip Jianu' if Filip Jianu advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by biases or attempts to balance action on both sides. This market, driven by real money at risk, can sometimes identify discrepancies or inefficiencies in sportsbook pricing. However, it’s important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks aim to accurately reflect the probability of an event occurring, and differences can arise due to varying information and analytical approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the La Serna vs Jianu match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own assessments of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tulln match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Filip Jianu, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, or if the match was not completed, the official result as declared by the tournament organizers will be used to settle the market. The outcome will be based on the official, final result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 14, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either player's fitness or strategy would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, any public statements from tennis analysts or experts offering opinions on the likely winner could also impact trading volume and the implied probabilities within this market. Any significant information related to the players or the match itself has the potential to move the market.